After Democrats fared better than expected in the midterms, 75% of Democrats now believe President Biden can win re-election.
The number of Democratic voters who believe Biden could win the 2024 race for the White House has jumped to 71%, a double-digit increase from the 60% who felt that way in an August poll.
Now 75% of Republicans say Trump could win the next election, a slightly higher number than Biden among their supporters. But that’s seven percentage points lower than the 82% of Republicans who believed in the former president’s view before the midterm elections.
A 54% majority of Republicans say Trump should be the party’s presidential nominee for the third time. 46% say it’s time for a change. While that puts it in positive 8-point territory, the margin is less than half the 18-point advantage it held in August, at 59%-41%.
President Biden seems to have succeeded in convincing the Democrats that his message and policies are winning. On the Republican side, Trump’s failure to deliver a red wave to the Republican Party appears to have accelerated anxiety and a growing desire for change in his own party.
If inflation drops and the economy is in good shape, Biden will have his back in his re-election campaign.
On the Republican side, the question remains: Will Republican primary voters jittery enough to oust Trump at sea, or does he have enough control over a portion of the GOP primary base to win the nomination again?
Republicans took control of the House of Representatives, but President Biden won the midterm elections.
Support for Biden is growing within the Democratic Party while Trump appears to be on the decline.
Jason is the Managing Editor. He is also the White House press reporter and congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason holds a Bachelor’s degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and professional memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the American Political Science Association