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Bitcoin plunges 70% on Standard Chartered’s list of potential disruptions for 2023

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(Bloomberg) — Speculators clinging to the view that the cryptocurrency’s path is over are mostly at risk of a rude awakening in 2023, according to Standard Chartered Bank.

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Another “surprising” scenario that markets could be “underpriced,” Eric Robertson, the bank’s global head of research, wrote in a note Sunday, another bitcoin drop of about 70% to $5,000 next year.

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Robertson said demand could shift from bitcoin as a digital version of gold to real gold, leading to a 30% rally in the yellow metal.

Robertson added that this likely outcome includes a reversal in higher interest rates as economies struggle, more bankruptcies and a collapse in investor confidence in digital assets.

He stressed that he was not making predictions but instead summarizing scenarios that are materially outside the current market consensus.

Arguably, the question of what lies ahead for digital assets wasn’t difficult to answer after the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange and sister trading house Alameda Research. The spreading tremors from the explosion threaten to bring down more crypto companies and token prices.

For some, much of the bad news may already be reflected in the more than 60% drop in bitcoin and a scale of the top 100 tokens over the past year.

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“Our bottom line is that most of the forced selling is over, but investors may not be compensated for the market risk incurred in the near term,” Sean Farrell, Fundstrat’s head of digital asset strategy, wrote in a note on Friday.

Farrell pointed to the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Digital Currency Group, the parent company of beleaguered crypto brokerage Genesis. Genesis creditors are looking at options to try to prevent the brokerage from falling into bankruptcy.

gold forecast

Robertson of Standard Chartered said that a surprising market scenario of gold rallying as cryptocurrencies decline could see the precious metal measure at $2,250 an ounce.

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“Gold will benefit from cryptocurrency woes going forward, with the sudden downturn in confidence in the cryptocurrency ecosystem,” said Nicholas Vrabel, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery in Sydney.

The cryptocurrency sector continues to shrink. For example, digital asset exchange Bybit plans to cut its workforce by 30%, the latest in a series of layoffs to hit the industry.

There could be more pain ahead: About 94% of respondents to Bloomberg’s MLIV Pulse survey believe more blowouts will follow FTX’s bankruptcy as years of easy credit give way to a tougher business and market environment.

Bitcoin at the moment is fairly stable. The largest virtual currency was up 1.8% on Monday and was trading at a three-week high of $17,340 as of 2:35pm in Tokyo. It also gained codes like Ether, Solana, and Polkadot.

For crypto market prices: CRYP; For the most important cryptocurrency news: TOP CRYPTO.

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–Assisted by Sing Yee Ong.

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MicroStrategy is at its lowest level since 2020 after the sales were revealed

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(Bloomberg) — Shares of MicroStrategy touched their lowest level since August 2020 after the enterprise software company, which in recent years has been known as the largest buyer of bitcoin, revealed its first sale of the token.

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The stock fell 1.1 percent to $136.63 on Thursday, down 75 percent this year. Bitcoin rose less than 1% to around $16,590 and is believed to have fallen 64% since the start of the year.

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In a filing on Wednesday, MicroStrategy said it acquired approximately 2,395 Bitcoin between the beginning of November and December 21 through its subsidiary MacroStrategy, and paid out approximately $42.8 million in cash. It then sold 704 of the tokens on Dec. 22 for a total of about $11.8 million, citing tax purposes, before buying another 810 of them two days later.

Matt Malley, chief market strategist for Miller Tabak + Co. Step down as CEO. This news means they don’t seem to want to do that anytime soon.”

Overall, MicroStrategy held about 132,500 bitcoins worth over $4 billion USD as of December 27th. The company paid an average purchase price of $30,397 per bitcoin.

“Given MicroStrategy’s $2.4 billion in leverage, we believe the company may have a lot of leverage over Bitcoin, and may face some liquidity risk,” Jefferies analyst Brent Thiel wrote in a note on Wednesday. Thill has an “underperform” rating on the stock and a price target of $110.

Over the years of the pandemic, MicroStrategy has become well known for its Bitcoin takeovers, largely led by Saylor. Earlier this year, Saylor stepped down from that role and now serves as CEO at the company and continues to lead its bitcoin strategy.

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MicroStrategy was trading around $120 before Saylor first announced the company’s Bitcoin purchases in 2020. The stock reached an all-time high of $1,315 in February 2021.

(Updates to include the stock’s closing price in the second paragraph.)

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Bankman-Fried May File Petition in New York Federal Court Next Week Before Judge Louis Kaplan By Cointelegraph

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Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried is set to appear in court on the afternoon of January 3 to enter a lawsuit over two counts of wire fraud and six counts of conspiracy against him related to the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX, according to Reuters. mentioned on December 28, citing court records. Bankman-Fried will appear before District Judge Lewis Kaplan in Manhattan.

Judge Kaplan was appointed to hear the case on December 27 after the original judge in the case, Ronnie Abrams, Resigned herself because of connections between FTX and the law firm Davis Polk & Wardwell, where her husband is a partner. The company provided advisory services to FTX in 2021.